Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

5 нояб. 2024 г. · According to 538's final presidential forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 50-in-100 chance of winning the Electoral College after all votes are ...

The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average. Source, Date, Sample, Harris, Stein, Kennedy, West, Oliver, Trump, Other. Average ...

14 нояб. 2024 г. · Live-updating election results, maps and analysis of the 2024 Texas elections from The Washington Post.

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

The polling data compiled by the U.S. polling aggregation website "FiveThirtyEight (538)” tracks the support levels for Trump and Biden in Texas.

5 нояб. 2024 г. · Neither Kamala Harris nor Donald J. Trump leads by more than a single percentage point. Neither candidate holds a meaningful edge in enough states to win 270 ...

5 нояб. 2024 г. · Democrats are hoping for an upset win in the Lone Star State, where they hope Rep. Colin Allred (D) can oust Sen. Ted Cruz (R).

10 нояб. 2024 г. · With all states now counted, US President-elect Donald Trump has won 312 of 538 electoral votes, including all seven battleground states, ...