5 нояб. 2024 г. · 538's final forecast for the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is officially out, ... 2024 Election · Senate forecast · House forecast · Latest Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Latest Polls · Nevada · North Carolina · Texas

538's 2024 House of Representatives election forecast model showing Democratic and Republican chances of winning control.

538's 2024 Senate election forecast model showing Democratic and Republican chances of winning control. Nebraska · Latest Polls · Arizona

538's 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris's and Republican Donald Trump's chances of winning.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. How To Pitch FiveThirtyEight · Latest Polls · Generic ballot · Kamala Harris

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

4 нояб. 2024 г. · At exactly midnight on Tuesday, we ran our simulation model for the final time in this election cycle. Out of 80,000 simulations, Kamala Harris ... Election Model comments... · A random number generator... · Some personal news

This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. It is current as of the map timestamp.

9 сент. 2024 г. · Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.